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An Investing Principles Checklist

The following excerpt is from "Poor Charlie's Almanack". It's a "checklist" of items to consider prior to making an investment.

  • Risk--All investment evaluations should begin by measuring risk, especially reputational.
    • Incorporate an appropriate margin of safety.
    • Avoid dealing with people of questionable character.
    • Insist upon proper compensation for risk assumed.
    • Always beware of inflation and interest rate exposures.
    • Avoid big mistakes; shun permanent capital loss.
  • Independence--Only in fairy tales are emperors told they are naked.
    • Objectivity and rationality require independence of thought.
    • Remember that just because other people agree or disagree with you doesn't make you right or wrong--the only thing that matters is the correctness of your analysis and misjudgment.
    • Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean (merely average performance).
  • Preparation--The only way to win is to work, work, work, work, and hope to have a few insights.
    • Develop into a lifelong self-learner through voracious reading; cultivate curiosity and strive to become a little wiser every day.
    • More important than the will to win is the will to prepare.
    • Develop fluency in mental models from the major academic disciplines.
    • If you want to get smart, the question you have to keep asking is "why, why, why?"
  • Intellectual humility--Acknowledging what you don't know is the dawning of wisdom.
    • Stay withing a well-defined circle of competence.
    • Identify and reconcile dis-confirming evidence.
    • Resist the craving for false precision, false certainties, etc.
    • Above all, never fool yourself, and remember that you are the easiest person to fool.
  • Analytic rigor--Use of the scientific method and effective checklists minimizes errors and omissions.
    • Determine value apart from price; progress apart from activity; wealth apart from size.
    • It is better to remember the obvious than to grasp the esoteric.
    • Be a business analyst, not a market, macroeconomic, or security analyst.
    • Consider totality of rick and effect; look always at potential second order and higher level impacts.
    • Think forward and backwards--Invert, always invert.
  • Allocation--Proper allocation of capital is an investor's number one job.
    • Remember that highest and best use is always measured by the next best use (opportunity cost).
    • Good ideas are rare--when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet (allocate) heavily.
    • Don't "fall in love" with an investment--be situation-dependent and opportunity-driven.
  • Patience--Resist the natural human bias to act.
    • "Compound interest is the eight wonder of the world" (Einstein); never interrupt it unnecessarily.
    • Avoid unnecessary transactional taxes and frictional costs; never take action for its own sake.
    • Be alert for the arrival of luck.
    • Enjoy the process along with the proceeds, because the process is where you live.
  • Decisiveness-When proper circumstances present themselves, act with decisiveness and conviction.
    • Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.
    • Opportunity doesn't come often, so seize it when it does.
    • Opportunity meeting the prepared mind: that's the game.
  • Change--Live with change and accept unremovable complexity.
    • Recognize and adapt to the true nature of the world around you; don't expect it to adapt to you.
    • Continually challenge and willingly amend your "best-loved ideas".
    • Recognize reality even when you don't like it--especially when you don't like it.
  • Focus--Keep things simple and remember what you set out to do.
    • Remember that reputation and integrity are your most valuable assets--and can be lost in a heartbeat.
    • Guard against the effects of hubris and boredom.
    • Don't overlook the obvious by drowning in minutiae.
    • Be careful to exclude unneeded information or slop: "A small leak can sink a great ship"
    • Face your big troubles; don't sweep them under the rug.

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